A report by the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM) has revealed that the timeframe for heat wave and summer season is going to be increasing in India from the year 2020 and has also included the rise in temperature in the report. There will be rise in the temperature for the summers. The coastal areas of South India, which have been avoiding heat wave till now, are also going to be affected drastically. According to the report, this has happened due to the development of 'El Nino Modoki', a weather system different from El Nino. The study says that El Niño Modoki may be the prime force for the increase of heat wave in India. This effect will gain momentum due to the decay of soil moisture and the phenomenon of heat transfer from the earth to the atmosphere. These events are likely to occur between the years 2020 and 2064, which will affect parts of South India and coastal areas in a big way.
The report titled 'Future Projection of Heat Waves over India from CMIP Five Models' has been published in the international magazine 'Climate Dynamics'. It examines nine climate models to find out how the intensity, intensity and duration of heat (heat-wave) in India will increase and its serious condition and adverse health effects.
Among the models used for this study, 54 incidents of heat wave have been identified between 1961–2005. It is believed that between 2020 and 2064, the number of heat wave events may increase to 138. Scientist P Mukhopadhyay of this study said that past studies have shown that the heat wave changes in India due to sea surface anomalies in El-Nino and Indian Ocean. Outbreak of heat will be seen in the country from March ending. Heat waves untouched by hot winds will run in South India and coastal areas
In March this year, the temperature in Pune, Mahabaleshwar, Satara, Malegaon, Solapur, Nashik and Aurangabad in Maharashtra reached to a mammoth 35-40°C in March.
According to the Indian Meteorological Department, in the next few days, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, coastal areas of Andhra, Karnataka and Telangana will get severe heat and the heat wave will also increase significantly. This year, both the Skymet and the Indian Meteorological Department have predicted the monsoon to be less than normal. Incidence of heat wave has increased to a dramatically 03 waves on average per year.
Canonic El Niño: Due to its effect, heat begins to rise prematurely, in some parts of the world, heat was also seen in winter.
Modoki El Nino: The most unique form of El Nino is Modoki El Nino. The Pacific Ocean will be excessively hot yet other parts will remain cold
• Reduction in rain
• There will be problem of drinking. water
• Due to the influence of El Nino Modoki, the heat will increase in the coastal areas of India
• The monsoon will come down and the rains in the country are expected to go on till mid-June
• People in large parts of the country, including Maharashtra, who are struggling with water problems, will have to go through the problem of drinking water.
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| Summer 2020 |
The report titled 'Future Projection of Heat Waves over India from CMIP Five Models' has been published in the international magazine 'Climate Dynamics'. It examines nine climate models to find out how the intensity, intensity and duration of heat (heat-wave) in India will increase and its serious condition and adverse health effects.
Among the models used for this study, 54 incidents of heat wave have been identified between 1961–2005. It is believed that between 2020 and 2064, the number of heat wave events may increase to 138. Scientist P Mukhopadhyay of this study said that past studies have shown that the heat wave changes in India due to sea surface anomalies in El-Nino and Indian Ocean. Outbreak of heat will be seen in the country from March ending. Heat waves untouched by hot winds will run in South India and coastal areas
In March this year, the temperature in Pune, Mahabaleshwar, Satara, Malegaon, Solapur, Nashik and Aurangabad in Maharashtra reached to a mammoth 35-40°C in March.
According to the Indian Meteorological Department, in the next few days, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, coastal areas of Andhra, Karnataka and Telangana will get severe heat and the heat wave will also increase significantly. This year, both the Skymet and the Indian Meteorological Department have predicted the monsoon to be less than normal. Incidence of heat wave has increased to a dramatically 03 waves on average per year.
Different types of El Nino and it’s different effects:
El Niño: The most common form, there is a uniform rise in the temperature of the Pacific OceanCanonic El Niño: Due to its effect, heat begins to rise prematurely, in some parts of the world, heat was also seen in winter.
Modoki El Nino: The most unique form of El Nino is Modoki El Nino. The Pacific Ocean will be excessively hot yet other parts will remain cold
• Reduction in rain
• There will be problem of drinking. water
• Due to the influence of El Nino Modoki, the heat will increase in the coastal areas of India
• The monsoon will come down and the rains in the country are expected to go on till mid-June
• People in large parts of the country, including Maharashtra, who are struggling with water problems, will have to go through the problem of drinking water.
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